Have you wondered what the chances are of winning on the Nar Shaddaa Nightlife machines during the limited-time event? These are the estimates for the odds for the different casino machines, including the Smuggler’s Luck machine, the Kingpin machine, and the Emperor’s Grace machine and their Max Bet counterparts! This info also includes the percentages if you spin the machines with the Good Karma Buff and Smuggler’s Luck buff.
Contents
Nightlife Event
The Nar Shaddaa Nightlife event is a limited time event where you can head to Nar Shaddaa and gamble your credits away for a chance to win some unique prizes during a once-yearly event set in the summer.
Are you new to the Nightlife event and want to learn how to play, or want to see the different quests and prizes? See the Nightlife Event Guide!
Percentages
Don’t forget when reading the charts below that percentages are per-spin – that means, even if you have a 5% chance of winning something, it does not mean you will get your prize within 20 spins – you might get it the first time you spin, you might get it the 20th, or may still never win 100 spins later. All it means is if you have a 5% chance, every time you spin the machine, you have a one in twenty chance of winning.
A player named Turtle from Turtle’s Guides has dug through the game’s data and found some of the potential percentages related to the machines, and sent them to me with some nice notes “I made a handy spreadsheet for myself on the full breakdown of gambling wins and thought it might something you’d like sharing if you don’t already have it. The smuggler’s max bet adds up to 100.02, I don’t know why, probably because math is hard.”

Smuggler’s Luck
| Smuggler’s Luck | % Change | Effect |
| 45.00% | – | Return token |
| 34.68% | – | Spend token |
| 10.00% | – | Spend token, gain Lucky buff |
| 5.00% | – | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 5.00% | – | Return token, gain Lucky buff |
| 0.30% | – | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 0.02% | – | Spend token, destroy machine |
What is the Jackpot? I am unsure but I think it is just winning Kingpin tokens.
Smuggler’s Luck Max Bet
| Smuggler’s Luck Max Bet | % Change | Effect |
| 31.78% | – | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 31.78% | – | Return token |
| 31.78% | – | Return token, gain Lucky buff |
| 2.80% | – | Spend token, gain Lucky buff |
| 1.76% | – | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 0.11% | – | Spend token, win Jackpot 2 |
| 0.01% | – | Spend token, destroy machine |
What is the difference between Jackpot and Jackpot 2? We don’t know and can’t see that information in the game’s data, it is saved on the game’s server instead as loot packages. Instead, we know there is a list of items attached to Jackpot, and a list of items attached to Jackpot 2, and the game randomly chooses between the items in that specific list when you win a prize. My theory is the lower max-bet percentage is to win the exclusive items.
What are the jackpot items? If you win the Jackpot, you will get one of these items:
- Max Bet Smuggler’s Luck Chip
- Max Bet Kingpin’s Bounty Chip
- Kingpin’s Bounty Chip(?)
- Smuggler’s Trained Vine Cat (ONLY won from the Smuggler’s Luck Max Bet)
- Smuggled Sithspawn (ONLY won from the Smuggler’s Luck Max Bet)

Kingpin’s Bounty
| Kingpin Bounty | % Change | Effect |
| 44.98% | – | Spend token |
| 40.50% | – | Return token |
| 5.00% | – | Spend token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 4.70% | – | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 4.50% | – | Return token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 0.30% | – | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 0.02% | – | Spend token, destroy machine |
Your chances go up if you use the Feeling Lucky buff:
| Kingpin Bounty with Lucky buff | % Change | Effect |
| 34.98% | -10.00% | Spend token |
| 45.00% | +4.50% | Return token |
| 5.00% | – | Spend token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 9.40% | +4.70% | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 5.00% | +0.50% | Return token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 0.60% | +0.30% | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 0.02% | – | Spend token, destroy machine |
+
Your chances go up more if you use the Feeling Lucky + Good Karma buff:
| Kingpin Bounty with Good Karma buff | % Change | Effect |
| 24.98% | -20.00% | Spend token |
| 60.00% | +19.50% | Return token |
| 0.00% | -5.00% | Spend token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 14.10% | +9.40% | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 0.00% | -5.00% | Return token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 0.90% | +0.60% | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 0.02% | – | Spend token, destroy machine |
What are the jackpot items? If you win the Jackpot, you will get one of these items:
- Mercenary Contract (Phrojo Nurray companion)
- Vector BWL Wraith
- Emperor’s Grace Casino Chip
- Kingpin’s Predator
- Kingpin’s Rancor
- Max Bet Kingpin’s Bounty Chip
Kingpin’s Bounty Max Bet
| Kingpin Bounty Max Bet | % Change | Effect |
| 44.00% | – | Return token |
| 24.98% | – | Spend token |
| 12.00% | – | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 11.00% | – | Return token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 5.00% | – | Spend token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 2.70% | – | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 0.30% | – | Spend token, win Jackpot 2 |
| 0.02% | – | Spend token, destroy machine |
Your chances go up if you use the Feeling Lucky buff:
| Kingpin Bounty Max Bet with Lucky buff | % Change | Effect |
| 42.00% | -2.00% | Return token |
| 14.98% | -10.00% | Spend token |
| 24.00% | +12.00% | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 10.00% | -1.00% | Return token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 5.00% | – | Spend token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 3.40% | +0.70% | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 0.60% | +0.30% | Spend token, win Jackpot 2 |
| 0.02% | – | Spend token, destroy machine |
+
Your chances go up more if you use the Feeling Lucky + Good Karma buff:
| Kingpin Bounty Max Bet with Good Karma buff | % Change | Effect |
| 54.00% | +10.00% | Return token |
| 4.98% | -20.00% | Spend token |
| 36.00% | +24.00% | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 0.00% | -11.00% | Return token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 0.00% | -5.00% | Spend token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 4.10% | +1.40% | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 0.90% | +0.60% | Spend token, win Jackpot 2 |
| 0.02% | – | Spend token, destroy machine |
What is the difference between Jackpot and Jackpot 2? We don’t know and can’t see that information in the game’s data, it is saved on the game’s server instead as loot packages. Instead, we know there is a list of items attached to Jackpot, and a list of items attached to Jackpot 2, and the game randomly chooses between the items in that specific list when you win a prize. My theory is the lower max-bet percentage is to win the exclusive items.
What are the jackpot items? If you win the Jackpot, you will get one of these items:
- Max Bet Emperor’s Grace Chip
- Cartel Certificate
- Emperor’s Chip(?)
- Vectron Wraith
- Phrojo Nuray
- Kingpin’s Predator
- Kingpin’s Rancor
- Vixian Youngling (ONLY won from the Kingpin’s Bounty Max Bet)
- Fiery Grefna (ONLY won from the Kingpin’s Bounty Max Bet)

Emperor’s Grace
| Emperor’s Grace | % Change | Effect |
| 55.61% | – | Return token |
| 26.74% | – | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 9.63% | – | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 5.56% | – | Return token, gain Lucky buff |
| 1.39% | – | Return token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 1.07% | – | Spend token, win Jackpot |
Your chances go up if you use the Good Karma buff:
| Emperor’s Grace with Good Karma buff | % Change | Effect |
| 31.50% | -24.11% | Return token |
| 50.00% | +23.26% | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 13.00% | +3.37% | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 3.50% | -2.06% | Return token, gain Lucky buff |
| 0.00% | -1.39% | Return token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 2.00% | +0.93% | Spend token, win Jackpot |
+
Your chances go up more if you use the Feeling Lucky + Good Karma buff:
| Emperor’s Grace with Good Karma & Lucky buffs | % Change | Effect |
| 20.00% | -35.61% | Return token |
| 60.00% | +33.26% | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 17.00% | +7.37% | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 0.00% | -5.56% | Return token, gain Lucky buff |
| 0.00% | -1.39% | Return token, gain Good Karma buff |
| 3.00% | +1.93% | Spend token, win Jackpot |
What is the difference between Jackpot and Jackpot? We don’t know and can’t see that information in the game’s data, it is saved on the game’s server instead as loot packages. Instead, we know there is a list of items attached to Jackpot, and that Jackpot list seems to be duplicated and attached to both wins, so you can add them together and you’ll be winning a Jackpot about 1/5 of the time with both buffs. This might be due to past years having a different jackpot list in the second position, but this year they are the same. When you win a jackpot, the game randomly chooses between the items in that specific list – but the more items there are on the list, the less chance you’ll have of winning any specific items you are hoping for.
What are the jackpot items? If you win the Jackpot, you will get one of these items:
- Emperor’s Mawvorr (new)
- Iridescent Varactyl (new)
- Supernova Helmet
- High Stakes Squadron Helmet
- High Roller Sunglasses
- High Roller Skiff (mount)
- Lucky Pritarr (mount)
- Vectron Magnus (mount)
- High Roller Shades (armor)
- Replica C1-4W (pet)
- Proud Pritarr Cub (pet)
- Fiery Grefna Chick (pet)
- Shimmering Ginx (pet)
- Phrojo Nuray (companion)
- Kingpin’s Predator (mount)
- Max Bet Emperor’s Grace Chip (*Vendor)
- Vector BWL Wraith (mount) (*Kingpin)
- High Roller Armor Set Box (*GTN)
- High Roller Cannon (weapon) (*GTN)
- High Roller Blaster Pistol (weapon) (*GTN)
- High Roller Blaster Rifle (weapon) (*GTN)
- High Roller Lightsaber (weapon) (*GTN)
- High Roller Lightstaff (weapon) (*GTN)
- High Roller Sniper Rifle (weapon) (*GTN)
Emperor’s Grace Max Bet
| Emperor’s Grace Max Bet | % Change | Effect |
| 75.00% | – | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 20.00% | – | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 5.00% | – | Spend token, win Jackpot 2 |
Your chances go up if you use the Good Karma buff:
| Emperor’s Grace Max Bet with Good Karma buff | % Change | Effect |
| 50.00% | -25.00% | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 40.00% | +20.00% | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 10.00% | +10.00% | Spend token, win Jackpot 2 |
+
Your chances go up more if you use the Feeling Lucky + Good Karma buff:
| Emperor’s Grace Max Bet with Good Karma & Lucky buffs | % Change | Effect |
| 25.00% | -50.00% | Spend token, win Cartel/Golden Certificate |
| 50.00% | +30.00% | Spend token, win Jackpot |
| 25.00% | +20.00% | Spend token, win Jackpot 2 |
What is the difference between Jackpot and Jackpot 2? We don’t know and can’t see that information in the game’s data, it is saved on the game’s server instead as loot packages. Instead, we know there is a list of items attached to Jackpot, and a list of items attached to Jackpot 2, and the game randomly chooses between the items in that specific list when you win a prize. My theory is the lower max-bet percentage is to win the newer items, but I have no way to verify it.
What are the jackpot items? If you win the Jackpot, you will get one of these items:
- Emperor’s Mawvorr (new)
- Iridescent Varactyl (new)
- Supernova Helmet
- High Stakes Squadron Helmet
- High Roller Sunglasses
- High Roller Skiff (mount)
- Lucky Pritarr (mount)
- Vectron Magnus (mount)
- High Roller Shades (armor)
- Replica C1-4W (pet)
- Proud Pritarr Cub (pet)
- Fiery Grefna Chick (pet)
- Shimmering Ginx (pet)
- Phrojo Nuray (companion)
- Kingpin’s Predator (mount)
- Max Bet Emperor’s Grace Chip (*Vendor)
- Vector BWL Wraith (mount) (*Kingpin)
- High Roller Armor Set Box (*GTN)
- High Roller Cannon (weapon) (*GTN)
- High Roller Blaster Pistol (weapon) (*GTN)
- High Roller Blaster Rifle (weapon) (*GTN)
- High Roller Lightsaber (weapon) (*GTN)
- High Roller Lightstaff (weapon) (*GTN)
- High Roller Sniper Rifle (weapon) (*GTN)


























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